Longevity
Extension
Prerequisites:
Required Theory:
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Required or Contributory
Development:
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Contributory or Required
Observations:
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Description:
This is the
technology of advancing the lifespan of members of the populace
dramatically. Exactly how much extension is possible and how
difficult it is to achieve will depend on the rules of the universe in
question. The degree of extension possible in the real universe
is thoroughly unknown, but certainly nonzero. The amount of cost
associated with each person's life extension will also vary. It
may be that the cost associated with keeping a single person alive
indefinitely may be more than the work actually generated by an average
person. In that case, only a small subset of the whole population
may have extended lives.
One effect this extension will have is to reduce the
attrition rate on training and education. Ordinarily, money spent
on education will be lost after the members of the generation it was
spent on have died. With longevity extension active, this need
not be the case.
Another effect is on morale and time
perspective. As an example, the most of people of ~2000 Earth
didn't feel very affected by the imminent running out of
petroleum. This is because many of these people felt that the
problem would happen after their own deaths. If these people had
had a life expectancy of 200 years, however, this problem probably
would have been dealt with before having such large economic
impact. Similarly, people who have long life expectancies will
not become as disheartened by short-term problems. How young
people feel for this time will also affect how much morale is altered
by this technology. Living a thousand years and feeling like
you're 90 the whole time would not be as nice as living a thousand
years feeling like you're 20.
The third big effect of this technology is the most
obvious: people don't die as often. This means that the
population growth rate, instead of being the birth rate minus the death
rate, will instead approach a state of being simply the birth
rate. This could easily lead to overpopulation. Of course,
accidents and emigration will still cause populations to decrease, and
the social/economic situation might require some people to die of old
age anyway, so some death will still happen. Other measures, such
as forcing people to wait before having children, or only allowing
certain people to have children, etc. may be needed to keep the
population in check.
The development of this technology will affect:
(1) the total amount of life extension possible (lifespan), (2)
the effective age of people under the treatment (biological age; how
old they look/feel), which strongly affects the morale aspect, (3) the
economic cost of keeping someone alive/young. The ratio of these
effects and the total possible effect of each will vary from universe
to universe.